Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.895718 7.618750 8.422821 9.390711 10.534219 11.855017 13.515116
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.715956 6.651936 7.780361 9.268893 11.225397 13.778231 17.487698
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.982747 5.986130 7.258652 9.041491 11.565184 15.169842 21.056473
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.529339 5.576318 6.957798 8.990026 12.052417 16.792372 25.443303
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.186915 5.257550 6.716737 8.953077 12.511544 18.437405 30.488732
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.985823 5.100903 6.669277 9.173229 13.387335 20.980734 38.480275
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.676566 4.760348 6.314801 8.861657 13.307446 21.757704 43.072526
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.411519 4.460159 5.988990 8.549510 13.162684 22.358476 47.606189
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.211212 4.238325 5.760104 8.365407 13.212839 23.369683 53.994265
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.065175 4.085587 5.623078 8.317144 13.506855 25.001083 63.713813
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.050300 4.127371 5.792841 8.819511 14.985479 29.977733 91.914595
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.978439 4.075393 5.804868 9.036615 15.916599 33.986202 124.224340
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.827918 3.899866 5.613247 8.879432 16.060527 36.062480 153.307145
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.694664 3.745435 5.448366 8.761474 16.294396 38.649582 197.375532
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.559159 3.578850 5.249333 8.551933 16.265882 40.394404 244.930881
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.461644 3.467799 5.137713 8.504540 16.635899 43.849570 342.685540
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.374554 3.368470 5.038705 8.470521 17.036190 47.759459 509.123558
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.328193 3.333524 5.051377 8.673125 18.136762 55.700549 1075.378263
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.218463 3.186286 4.849342 8.386330 17.775921 56.428356 1435.077199
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.116193 3.047280 4.654720 8.098603 17.364407 56.726557 1904.933347
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.036278 2.942849 4.518284 7.928712 17.281311 58.874886 3258.754904
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.977558 2.872058 4.440467 7.884150 17.581427 63.635347 10357.656258
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.983606 2.912908 4.575682 8.347504 19.653708 83.023850 NaN